After a disappointing performance in 2018, China’s economy appears to be stabiliz
ing. In the first quarter of 2019, GDP growth, at 6.4 percent year-on-year, matched that of the previous quarter. But grow
th in industrial production exceeded expectations, expanding by 6.5 percent year-on-year (and by 8.5 percent in Mar
ch). Even exports growth was positive, albeit weak, despite the ongoing trade frictions with the United States.
Moreover, fixed-asset investment (FAI) grew by 6.3 percent－0.2 percentage points higher than in the previous quar
ter. Investment in real estate grew the fastest (11.8 percent), followed by manufacturing (4.6 percent) and in
frastructure (4.4 percent). The growth of investment both in real estate and infrastru
cture was stronger not only sequentially, but also year-on-year. As usual, consumption growth was stable.